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September 27, 2017

Tennessee Path to Victory

Tonight, when Scott and I recorded the Tennessee preview of the Waitin' Since Last Saturday podcast, we talked about the Tennessee path to victory.  While I went on about protecting the ball and being successful at finding plays that allow us to score TDs instead of FGs, I was thinking about Bill Connelly's Five Factors:
Five Factors
OffenseDefense
CategoryAvg.RkAvg.RkNat'l Avg.
EFFICIENCYSuccess Rate40.8%7530.4%940.1%
EXPLOSIVENESSIsoPPP1.39140.9251.17
FIELD POSITIONAvg. FP30.56328.56029.6
FINISHING DRIVESPts. Per Trip in 405.39193.29164.38
TURNOVER MARGINEXPECTED2.0532Turnover Luck (PPG):
-3.81
ACTUAL-173
The tl;dr version is that on offense, Georgia is pedestrian at gaining the requisite number of yards to be in a position to get a first down in a series of four downs, and very good at explosive plays and converting trips inside the 40 yard line into touchdowns.  On defense, we are wrecking shop everywhere.

That isn't a surprise considering that the offensive line and edge blocking remains the one thing this team isn't excelling at.  We are much better than last year and improving, but it remains that one 'yeah, but' when you start talking about the eyeball test for the team as a whole.  Essentially, that is reflected in the advanced stats as efficiency.  

Tennessee's Dline is their best unit. The offensive line and Chaney have their work cut out for them, again, to find plays to neutralize that unit.  

T

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