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Showing posts with label Gurley for Heisman. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Gurley for Heisman. Show all posts

October 22, 2014

UGA to request reinstatement for Gurley: But how many games will he be out?

Can be found here.
Todd has confirmed his desire to seek reinstatement, and the University fully supports Todd's request. The University plans to file the necessary paperwork with the NCAA later today.
The rub is it looks like the University was done on October 9th, which was the day he was suspended. The DawgVent melt down begins in 3....2.....1....

My take is absent information to the contrary, and with consultation of William King, Gurley's UGA funded compliance lawyer, UGA felt they had enough to show he would be out at least two games. And King was holding UGA off so he could do his diligence.

What the statement didn't address, and the $400 question out there, is how many games did UGA ask for him to be reinstated after.
TD

October 15, 2014

Schultz on Gurley (for the third time)

He likes us! He really likes us!
FSU’s approach with the Winston situation has differed from Georgia’s with Todd Gurley.
Ok, it isn't true love, but he makes a good point (kinda), noting that Georgia didn't want to chance playing an ineligible Gurley and forfeiting a game.

Although I'd venture a guess his next Gurley article will blame Ebola, but you know, that's what gets the click throughs.
TD

October 13, 2014

Free Gurley

I've stayed (mostly) out of the Gurley saga. Mainly because either he'll be back or he won't. I'll drink and show up for games either way. That's just the Irish in me.

Still, this is awesome
This was in downtown Athens, in the offices above the new parking deck near the Georgia Theater. Many thanks to Cameron Treadway for doing this and sharing the pictures. Damn Good Dawgs all.
TD
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UPDATE: Night time view:

September 12, 2014

Gurley and the Heisman

Folks are betting up Gurley. From Bovada's Sport Book Mangager, Kevin Bradley:
"While we are more likely to move off money and adjust to betting trends with something like the Heisman because of the subjectivity of it all and how it is not as mathematical as some of the other props we offer, that said, to move a Heisman candidate this much in two days is very unusual."
 NCAA 2014-2015 Season - Odds to win the Heisman Trophy (Players in red have longer odds, players in blue have shorter odds, and players in black stayed the same)      
                                                              Odds on 9/2/14    Odds on 9/9/14    Current Odds   
Todd Gurley (RB Georgia)                     7/1                             7/1                              5/1
Marcus Mariota (QB Oregon)               11/2                           11/2                            11/2
Kenny Hill (QB Texas A&M)                16/1                           15/2                            15/2
Jameis Winston (QB Florida State)      11/2                           15/2                              8/1

No idea if this is a few big bets or many smaller bets, but for a bet that has usually has this kind of action, that is quite the move in two days.
TD

September 11, 2014

Stopping Todd Gurley

Just something to chew on:

2014 National Leaders Rushing - All Games through 09/06/2014

NameTeamYrPosGAttYardsAvg.TDAtt/GYards/G
1Nick ChubbGeorgiaFRRB147017.5014.0070.00
2Jonathan WilliamsArkansasJRRB21117716.0925.5088.50
3Todd GurleyGeorgiaJRRB11519813.20315.00198.00
4Sherman BadieTulaneFRRB21823012.7819.00115.00
5Justin StocktonTexas TechFRRB21417312.3627.0086.50

File this away for when South Carolina doesn't stack the box.
TD

September 2, 2014

Heisman and NC odds: Gurley and Georgia trending up

Newly released from Bovada:

Odds to win the 2014-2015 College Football FBS Championship (Teams in red have longer odds, teams in blue have shorter odds, and teams in black stayed the same)         
Odds on 8/27/14           Current Odds   
Florida State                             4/1                                9/2
Alabama                                   5/1                                7/1
Oregon                                     15/2                              8/1
Oklahoma                                 10/1                              9/1
Auburn                                      10/1                              10/1
Georgia                                    16/1                              12/1
UCLA                                        14/1                              14/1
LSU                                         22/1                              16/1
Ohio State                                20/1                              18/1
Texas A&M                               75/1                              18/1

Let's not get too worked up over this. All this means is money is moving off the top three to some of those other team, most notably Texas A&M.

NCAA 2014-2015 Season - Odds to win the Heisman Trophy (Players in red have longer odds, players in blue have shorter odds, and players in black stayed the same)        
Odds on 8/2714            Current Odds   
Jameis Winston (QB Florida State)                     9/2                    11/2
Marcus Mariota (QB Oregon)                              5/1                    11/2
Todd Gurley (RB Georgia)                                  14/1                  7/1
Melvin Gordon (RB Wisconsin)                           12/1                  10/1
Brett Hundley (QB UCLA)                                   10/1                  12/1
Bryce Petty (QB Baylor)                                     12/1                  12/1
Nick Marshall (QB Auburn)                                 12/1                  14/1
T.J. Yeldon (RB Alabama)                                  20/1                  16/1
Kenny Hill (QB Texas A&M)                                Off the Board    16/1

I'm surprised Kenny Hill didn't go higher. Also, note that only one running back has won the Heisman in the past ten years. It's been the era of the QB for some time now.
TD

August 5, 2014

Updated Heisman odds: Gurley falling

Just got some updated Heisman Trophy odds from Bovada. Interestingly, due to the inclusion of several players on the board (at longer than 20/1), the odds of all in the top six, including Todd Gurley, have gotten longer, notably Alabama's Derrick Henry moving onto the board just below T.J. Yeldon at 25/1.

NCAA 2014-2015 Season - Odds to win the Heisman Trophy (Players in red have longer odds, players in blue have shorter odds, and players in black stayed the same)        
Odds on 1/24/14                       Current Odds   
Jameis Winston (QB Florida State)                     2/1                                9/2
Marcus Mariota (QB Oregon)                              7/2                                6/1
Braxton Miller (QB Ohio State)                           4/1                                15/2
Bryce Petty (QB Baylor)                                     6/1                                12/1
Brett Hundley (QB UCLA)                                   12/1                              14/1
Todd Gurley (RB Georgia)                                  12/1                              14/1
Melvin Gordon (RB Wisconsin)                           16/1                              16/1
Nick Marshall (QB Auburn)                                 9/1                                16/1
Trevor Knight (QB Oklahoma)                             25/1                              18/1
Everett Golson (Notre Dame)                             25/1                              20/1
T.J. Yeldon (RB Alabama)                                  5/1                                20/1

Note that Alabama and Auburn's two players are the ones that have significantly longer odds now than they did in January.

TD

July 20, 2014

Can Todd Gurley win the Heisman?

Yesterday, I noted there was some sort of campaign afoot for Todd Gurley to win the Heisman. Putting aside if UGA should do a formal campaign, here is my assessment on his chances.

First, he has to stay healthy. Last year before he got hurt against LSU, he was looking to be in the 20 carries, 125 yards, and 2 TDs per game area. In fact, the LSU game was looking to be a breakout game, as he was ripping up the Tiger's D and was on pace for 150 + yards before he got hurt.

Working from those numbers, if he hits 240 carries at his current ypc average, he'll have around 1500 yards rushing, plus whatever he gets receiving, keeping in mind he'll get 4+ passing targets per game (let's say 30 receptions). Will this stat line get him an invite to NYC?
Rushing Receiving
240 carries 30 receptions
1500 yards (6.25ypc) 350 yards
20 TDs 20 TDs

The last RB to win, Alabama's Mark Ingram had a similar stat line in his Heisman winning campaign:
Rushing Receiving
271 carries 32 receptions
1658 yards (6.1ypc) 334 yards
17 TDs 3 TDs

Ingram won a close vote over another RB, Toby Gerhart, who had much higher stats (343 carries for 1871 yards and 28 TDs), but played on an 8-5 Stanford team. 2009 also  featured all three returning Heisman finalists: Colt McCoy, Tim Tebow, and Sam Bradford. McCoy and Tebow were finalist (though Tebow should never have been invited with the number of votes he got), along with Ingram, Gerhart, and Ndamukong Suh.

I say all of that to make the point that it will probably take a super special year (think 7+ypc with 250+ carries, 2000+ total yards and 30+TDs).

So ask youself:
Is Todd Gurley capable of that?
Is our offense capable of that?
Is our coaching philosophy able to get him the touches to accomplish that?

For my money, if he stays healthy, he'll get an invite to New York. The rest is really just a beauty contest based on how well UGA's season goes.
TD

July 19, 2014

Gurley for Heisman campaign?

I'm sure this will be the first of many posts on this, but it will take a spectacular year from him, and a great year from his team, if a RB is to win it.
I'm all in.
TD
 
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