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September 3, 2015

Getting the band back together

I'm going to be sorely upset with Gus Malzahn if he doesn't run this play at least once with Shaq Wiggins lined up in tight coverage.....



I'd say he owes us that. And Petrino owes us to throw just over Matthews 20 times.
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UNC vs. South Carolina

On the WSLS Podcast, I picked UNC to beat South Carolina in Charlotte tonight. There are lots or reasons it could go either way, namely UNC's offense was ok in 2015, but not particularly spectacular and their defense was abysmal, and the exact same thing could be said about South Carolina.

The big difference is UNC has virtually all of that offense back, and a decent (hey, they don't just give National Championships away) DC in Gene Chizik. South Carolina has added John Hoke to the mix as the co-defensive coordinator with last year's DC Lorenzo Ward. So, yes. Co-defensive coordinators. And a new QB with Spurrier is always interesting.

So on balance, I believe this game has all the makings of a fairly interesting game that comes down to which team can finally make a stop. I believe that advantage goes to the Tar Heels.
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Waitin' Since Last Saturday Podcast, Ep 005 is up

We discuss UL-Monroe, Greyson Lambert, Will's experience covering Trump, and the Larry Fedora-Steve Spurrier cage match that is scheduled after tonight's Belk Comfort Fit Kickoff game tonight.

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September 2, 2015

Toto, we're not in Clemson anymore

83° for a high temp on Saturday? Man, that is nice, even if the threat of rain is real.

Saturday
Saturday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny, with a high near 83.
Chance
T-storms
High: 83 °F
For my money, I'd take this over the oppressive 555°Ra or whatever it usually is.
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September 1, 2015

More Lambert4QB

I'm staying on the record that the full time starting qb race is far from done. But I've heard/seen some quibbles about Lambert's days as a qb at UVA. I've given some thought about that this summer, especially thinking about him graduating from UVA in three years with a degree in anthropology. He's certainly smart enough to pick up the playbook in three months.

One other thing I was thinking about, something Blutarsky hit on in several of his posts, is the difference in coaching Lambert is seeing in Athens vs. Charlottesville.
As the chart Hale linked illustrates, Lambert threw a lot of passes to the wrong guys. But when you consider the stat Blutarsky shows about Lambert's 3rd and middle yardage situations last year, I can't help but think that is illustrative of 1) a qb who isn't getting time to make reads, 2) an offensive system that is set up to get folks open quickly, as opposed to at the right distance, or 3) a qb who is not good at making the right reads/doesn't have options at those reads.

Or a combo of all three. Yes, Lambert looked brutal at times. But when you consider that two of UVA's top four receivers last season were RBs, there is context to consider about the offense they run and the philosophy of the coaches. For reference sake, none of those running backs were named TJ Yeldon.

Now, I'm not ready to make a complete comparison, but I can think of one very good example of the difference coaching and philosophy can make. Russell Wilson:

Passing
Year School Conf Class Pos G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int Rate
*2008 North Carolina State ACC FR QB 11 150 275 54.5 1955 7.1 8.2 17 1 133.9
2009 North Carolina State ACC SO QB 12 224 378 59.3 3027 8.0 8.3 31 11 147.8
*2010 North Carolina State ACC JR QB 13 308 527 58.4 3563 6.8 6.6 28 14 127.5
*2011 Wisconsin B1G SR QB 14 225 309 72.8 3175 10.3 11.8 33 4 191.8
Career Overall 907 1489 60.9 11720 7.9 8.4 109 30 147.2
North Carolina State 682 1180 57.8 8545 7.2 7.5 76 26 135.5
Wisconsin 225 309 72.8 3175 10.3 11.8 33 4 191.8
Provided by Sports-Reference.com/CFB: View Original Table
Generated 9/1/2015.

Wilson was a good, not great, college QB at NC State. He had no run support, with the Wolfpack averaging 3.5-3.6 ypc in his time there; he had substantively better offensive line and receiving options than Lambert did last year. Then he goes to Wisconsin and gets an offense that averaged 5.5ypc. And wins the B!G championship under Bret Beliema. For my money, UGA is far better off in the QB coaching area than either staff Wilson played for.  Insert your own NotoriusTOB/paleoball coaching snark here.

One last thing. I've heard a lot of 'he only got an offer at UVA' so he can't be that good. Take a look at Lambert's offer list:
SchoolInterestOfferVisitRecruited by
VirginiaCOMMITTED (08/06/2011)Offered11/11/2011
AlabamaNoneOfferedNone
ArkansasNoneNone
AuburnNoneNoneJeff Grimes
Boston Coll.NoneOfferedNone
ClemsonNoneOfferedNoneJeff Scott
FloridaNoneNone
GeorgiaNoneOfferedNoneMike Bobo
LSUNoneNone
Miami (FL)NoneOfferedNone
MississippiNoneNone
Mississippi St.NoneOfferedNone
N.C. StateNoneOfferedNoneJim Bridge
PurdueNoneOfferedNone
South CarolinaNoneOfferedNone

FWIW, I believe his 2014 season is what Dak Prescott, minus running the ball, is facing in 2015. That is the talent level Mississippi State has vis-à-vis the competition Lambert had at UVA at OLine, receiver, and running back. To boot, Prescott has better coaching than Lambert did last year.

All this is to say that if Lambert is the full time starter from here on out, it is because he now has the coaching and offense to go with the talent to support that decision. In other words, let's let the house catch fire before we are ready to call the insurance company.
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Oh, we have more than one position? Depth Chart Released

Yes. That is snark.
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Waitin' Since Last Saturday Podcast and Pick'em

A couple of folks have asked for the podcast links:

iTunes
SoundCloud
RSS Feed

Kindly take the time to like, star, rate, or whatever at your feed of choice.

Also, if you want to get in the WSLS podcast pick'em, here is the link. You can also follow WSLS podcast on Twitter.

Thanks and Go Dawgs!
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August 31, 2015

Greyson Bob Lambert to start

For my money, it just means he's out there for the first series. While it is fun to read lots into who takes the first snap, I wouldn't...yet.

As for Lambert, he graduated UVA in three years while playing football. We know he's smart enough to do this. His stats were....interesting:

154-261 (59% completion); 6.3 yards/attempt, 10TDs-11Ints, 181.3 yards/game

That 6.3 yards per attempt really gets me. Hutson went for nearly 8 y/att last year. Some of that is UVA passing attack guerrilla skirmish. Much of that is the players Lambert had around him. Especially the rushing game. For reference, Nick Chubb nearly out rushed UVA by himself.

Just stuff to think about as we watch closely on Monday.
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Indoor Practice Facility approved

Renderings are for demonstration purposes only.
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ESPN's song list

At least there is no Florida-Georgia Line(sic).

And that is that on student tickets being resold for Bama

Athletic Association quashes many dreams and beer funds.
FWIW, it is the right thing to do.
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New guys on campus: playing or not?

A little tradition where Tyler gives a prediction about what newcomers will play. My greatest hit...
One last one that I just cannot figure out....
Todd Gurley (RB) - It is impossible to say what will happen with Gurley.  I had him in the absolutely going to play list. I had him on the absolutely red shirt list. The latest reports out of camp are that he has done a great job mastering the play book. He got the best vote of confidence Bobo knows how to give when he was said to be 'picking up blocking schemes' well. If pressed on it, I'd say he plays, but it really is wholly dependent on how Boo/Richard does, how well Marshall does, and how well the other two FBs (Hicks and Merritt Hall) do, and how strongly Gurley comes on in camp.
So, yeah. Pretty much ignore everything else in this post. Still, I've gotta do this for my own edification.

A caveat, I think we'll play a bunch of freshmen through the season. Coach Richt has shown a willingness to put his best players on the field over the past few season. I don't expect that to change, though in fairness to my prediction in 2012, that was still a thing then.

I expect Thomson, McGraw, Amechi, Roquan, and Patrick all to start games at some point this season, with McGraw possibly starting UL-Monroe. Jake Ganus will play a bunch as well. On the offensive side, Goodwin and Chigbu are going to have substantive playing time, if not starts this season. Look for some of those young OLinemen to get plenty of game minutes through the season. Same goes for Shaq Wilson at WR.

Now for the guys I think will get red shirted (since this is really a post for us to mock in a year or two):

Mirko Jurkovic (OL) - Ok, he's hurt, so I know he won't play. I had to take a gimme first.

Tae Crowder (RB) - We've had some biblical level stuff go down if Crowder gets his red shirt taken off. I did not meant that as blaspheme, honest.

Grayson Lambert (QB) - Just seeing if y'all are still paying attention.

Johnathan Abram (S) - I haven't heard very much about him, good or bad, out of Pruitt. Which probably means he's as likely to start as to be Dak Prescott on the Scout team.

DaQuan Hawkins (DL) - Same as above, plus he didn't get to campus until like a week ago or something.

So, yeah. I guess I need to downgrade Georgia because we'll likely start 17 freshmen and two transfers, right?
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And it's game week

I'm gonna leave a little warm up music right here while I go run through some walls.

August 28, 2015

Students mad at the wrong guys

The Red and Black has the news that not all students that wanted season tickets will get all seven games. There will be a lottery for South Carolina and Alabama tickets.

I'd say the students are mad at the wrong people. Look out for the student tickets that'll be for sale, particularly for the Alabama game. As a student, that's who I'd be mad at.

As an alumni, I'm going to be mad at those students when I see hounds tooth in the student section.
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WSLS College Football Pick'em is up

We have games next Thurs. Get in the fun.

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