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October 18, 2005

Blog Poll Roundtable - The BCS and Polls

All Things Longhorn is hosting this week's Roundtable.

1. What would it take for you to vote someone other than USC #1 in the poll? If you already are, what would it take for USC to regain the top spot on your ballot?

I have USC at #1. If Notre Dame's wheels fell off and if the opponents that Notre Dame has beaten continue to struggle as Michigan, Michigan State, and Purdue have at times, I would rethink my vote eventually. But it's hard for me to envision not voting for an undefeated Southern Cal as the #1 team in the country.

2. Which of the undefeateds is most likely to remain so? Who is least likely?

If I were ranking the odds that a team would remain undefeated, I would go:
1. Texas
2. USC
3. Virgina Tech
4. (Huge dropoff)Georgia

Least likely:
1. Texas Tech - even if they beat Texas, which isn't going to happen, they still wouldn't go undefeated.
2. Alabama - attrition is their enemy. Every week that goes by this group gets thinner and thinner. They are probably the thinnest program in the Top 10.
3. UCLA - if only because they play Southern Cal and are coached by Karl Dorrell. Karl Dorrell reminds me of a black Mike Shula...only without Joe Kines...or Brodie Croyle...or as many corrupt boosters.

3. If you were running the BCS system, would you let the computer rankings factor in margin of victory? Why or why not?

I would replace the computers with the old strength of schedule formula. Having said that, the biggest thing that computers provide is a sense of what the college football season would look like if every win or loss happened independent of a timeline. Everyone knows that in the human polls, it pays to lose early and it kills your season to lose late. Computers ignore that element. That said, I'm not a fan of the computers. Even if they do have UGA ranked higher than the humans.

These questions are part of a series of discussions for participants in the Blog Poll, which you can view here.

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