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May 14, 2009

Regional Projections for the NCAA Baseball Tournament

Baseball America has GT, UGA, and Georgia Southern in the Atlanta Regional. While the College Baseball blog has UGA in the Tallahassee Regional with GT hosting Louisville and Ga. Southern in Atlanta.

Personally, I can't see Tech getting stuck with both UGA and GSU in the same regional. We may end up in Atlanta, but Ga. Southern would probably end up in Clemson or Gainesville if that happened.

The biggest difference between the two projections would be the Tuscaloosa vs. Fayetteville argument for hosting a regional. I agree with the Baseball America writer that Alabama, Ole Miss, Arkansas and Georgia are competing for two regional host sites. A look at our respective resumes:

-- RPI: 20 and SOS: 45
-- Projected #3 seed in SEC Tourney
-- Will close season at Auburn.
-- Won 9 of their last 10
-- Won series vs. UGA
-- Note: If they win 2 of 3 vs. Auburn, I think they host.

-- RPI: 11 and SOS: 4
-- Projected 6th seed in SEC Tourney
-- Will close season against Ole Miss at home.
-- Won 4 of their last 10
-- Lost series vs. UGA
-- Note: Would need to beat Ole Miss at least twice to host.

-- RPI: 18 and SOS: 25
-- Projected 5 seed in SEC Tourney
-- Won 2 of their last 10
-- Would have to sweep SC and win at least 2 in Hoover to host.

Ole Miss:
-- RPI: 17 and SOS: 34
-- Projected 4 seed in SEC Tourney
-- Will close season at Arkansas
-- Won 7 of last 10
-- Won series vs. UGA
-- Note: If they win the series vs. ARK, they'll likely host.

It's going to be interesting to see how the selection committee slots us.

See Also:
-- Georgia at Arizona St. in Tempe Regional -
-- Playing for pride - ABH

Paul Westerdawg
Georgia Sports Blog


The ACC and SEC Blog said...

Interesting...GT has struggled with Ga Southern this year and everyone on here knows GT's struggles with UGA in post season play as of late.

A regional with GT, UGA, and Ga. Southern would have to be one of, if not the best regional.

FisheriesDawg said...

Fwiw, Rivals has us in the Tempe regional (ASU #7 national seed) as a 2-seed up against the Tallahassee regional for the supers. I guess that's a function of there being a handful of no-doubt #1 seeds out west and then not much else after that). Rivals also has Vandy going to Irvine as a 2 and Oklahoma going to Fullerton as a 2. We're just in a situation where there are so many SEC teams who will make the field that it limits the options for where you can go.

I'll believe that when I see it, but I guess it is a possibility. I could see us getting sent to Minnesota as either a 1 or a 2 before I could see Tempe, though.

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