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May 13, 2013

How long does season evaluation take?

In the case of the baseball team, don't think it is a forgone conclusion that Perno is gone. I think he should be, but there are three things that I keep thinking about:
  1. He's still recruiting talent. For better or worse, his classes are still highly rated by Baseball America. I'll get to talent development in a minute, but there are arguments that the past two seasons are aberrations based on untimely injuries, club house lawyers, and very some unlucky bounces against teams. Remember, McGarity is a long term view guy. One that isn't likely to make a judgement solely on record. 
  2. He is under developing talent. If Perno gets credit for the recruiting classes, then you have to lay the blame of those classes not becoming elite pitchers and hitters on the college level on him. Again, there is an argument that part of the blame could be traced to injuries, ect. 
  3. His connections to the department are a wildcard. The guy was on the national championship team. His family is as connected as they get in Athens, at least as much as the Dooleys. He's been in the department for a very long time.
Perno has been to the CWS multiple times. That means something, especially when you start thinking about how McGarity views a coaching search. Is there someone out there that can at least replicate the successes of Perno, circa mid-00's? 

There is one other thing in play here, that being the increasing fan apathy towards baseball. I know, put a good product and people will show up, blah, blah. If I had to bet, I'd say Georgia Athletics is on the verge of a big capital campaign. The timing of that kick off also plays in here. If UGA Athletics is about to push a campaign this summer, a change is more likely. If UGA Athletics is going to wait, a year isn't necessarily going to hurt that. If Perno bounces back, great. If he doesn't, well we need the money to improve facilities to give the new coach a leg up.

The biggest issue is that we have fallen precariously behind the other teams in the conference. Ten SEC teams are projected as locks into the 2013 NCAA tourney, with four teams projected to host (meaning they'll be national seeds, in all likelihood). Still, don't think McGarity is dead locked on firing Perno. It took him a season to move on gymnastics, nearly all based on the goodwill Jay Clark had built up as a long time coach in Athens. 

Actually, the Jay Clark situation is a pretty good indicator of how this will go. It is clear we aren't close to competing for conference championships, much less qualifying for the NCAA championships. The real question lies in how much McGarity thinks Perno is the reason why we aren't, how much credit he gets for when the baseball team was competing at that level, and how much he believe Perno is capable of getting us back to that level.



Anonymous said...

I like Perno, always have. But he has let the baseball program slip to an unimaginable level. He has done a lot of great things for Georgia baseball but its time to move on.

Anonymous said...

The decision to fire or keep Perno will speak volumes as to what McGarity is all about. A coaching change will require money. While I have no knowledge of Perno's contract, I am certain that he will be be owed some hefty cash. It will also cost to search for a new coach and finally land one. So, will McGarity sit on the cash, or is he really about winning championships? I have no earthly idea what he will do, but it is time for change in my opinion. There is too much baseball talent in this state for the Dawgs to suffer as they have the past few years.

Skeptic Dawg

Paul Westerdawg said...

First - he is gone. He just is.

Second - he has between 0 and 1 year left on his deal depending on which pub you read. You don't get off cheaper than firing a guy and giving him 1 year severance. Not in big time athletics.

He will get between 0 and $450k (if he has 1 year left he gets the larger amount. That's nothing.

Anonymous said...

Back in the middle of the 20th century, UGA let baseball and men's basketball rot. Our series records reflect neglect and utter sorriness. Looking at media guides for those sports is just plain painful. If McGarity and the new president find this acceptable, I hope they find themselves not only run out of UGA but out of their professions entirely.

Paul Westerdawg said...

Anon - the 50s in football was our worst decade.

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