Currently, Georgia is 2+ games up on all other comers for 3rd place in the SEC. We are 10-5 in the conference. Let that sink in. We have won 10 conference games for the first time in ten+ years. At 16-11, we stand a very good chance of being at least an 18 win team, with an outside shot of being a 20+ win team, come time to select post season team.
Let me get this out of the way, Georgia will not play in the NCAA tournament absent winning the SEC tourney. I can see scenarios we do if we win out and lose in the SEC tourney championship game, but our SOS is still really dicey, even if we get to the upper 40s RPI. Our regular season finish will have no bearing on the NCAA selection committee's decision. At that point, the SEC will just be a two bid conference.
So, the NIT or the CBI?
For my money, I think we have work to do to get into the NIT. Check out our possible ranges of RPIs from RPI Wizzard:
|Final Record||W-L pctg.||Expected RPI||Probability|
At best our SOS will be in the mid-70s, absent those road wins. For a good example of what UGA's profile looks like, look at LSU from last year. The Tigers finished 19-12, with an RPI of 85 and an SOS of 110. They actually had three wins over top 50 RPI teams. We have two. They only had one loss to a 150+RPI team. We have three, with another to 146th Davidson.
All that is to say we have work to do to get into the NIT. Now, we are likely a shoo in for the CBI (should we wish to accept that bid and I think we will), which some people will laud. I am not those people. While I'll root for Georgia and be proud of them, I see nothing productive coming from us touting a CBI berth. In fact, even if we get into the NIT, I'll feel the same way.
I've been saying for sometime that our ceiling is at our peer institutions' floors. If we see the NIT as something to laud, we are merely saying that it still the case.