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July 14, 2014

Phil Steele on Underdogs

The article from last year is here. I'm sure he'll get an updated list out this week, but it has interesting implications for the season ahead...
Favorite of# of GamesLost Outright%
31.5 or more pts67371.04%
24.5-31818323.91%
17.5-241421936.54%
14.5-1790511712.93%
10.5-14155132721.08%
7.5-10145437725.93%
3.5-7266693435.03%
3 or less178784847.45%
Which leads me to this: UGA is only a listed underdog in one game right now, a three point dog to South Carolina (which is the home field advantage). I am not a statistician, but looking at this list, Georgia will be a big statistical favorite for every game but South Carolina, and even then we are 50/50.

SEC media days start today. It is football season.
TD

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