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November 7, 2005

If the Dawgs Make the Sugar -- Who would we play?

Jay at The Blue-Gray Sky does an *excellent* job of explaining the pecking order of the BCS Bowls this year. His links and commentary expose several misconceptions of my own and others.

First, the Orange is not tied to the Big East anymore. The BCS site linked above makes that very clear. The ACC is tied to the Orange, the Sugar to the SEC and the Big 12 to the Fiesta.

Second, the order of bowl selection if Texas and USC win out will be:

1. Rose
2. Rose
3. Fiesta - Out of order pick to compensate for losing Texas
4. Orange
5. Sugar
6. Orange
7. Fiesta
8. Sugar
If Texas or USC were to collapse and fall out of the Rose, then picks 3-6 would be different.

Third, Jay points out that the non-national champ BCS Bowls must select 3 options for participating teams. More importantly, two of those teams must be conference champs who aren't already assigned to the Sugar, Fiesta or Orange.

Basically, Jay outlines a scenario which is very probable assuming Notre Dame and VT win out:

Rose - USC vs. Texas
Fiesta - Notre Dame vs. At-Large of the Fiesta's Choice
Orange - ACC Champ vs. Big 10 Champ
Sugar - SEC Champ vs. Big East Champ

In other words, the SEC Champ is flat out hosed. Also, a Georgia poster on Scout.com message board who works with the Atlanta Convention and Visitor Bureau gave specific and detailed reasons last week why the rumored Sugar/Orange swap would not happen.

What does all of this mean? Pray for Notre Dame to lose. (Pray hard b/c you're trying to out pray the Pope on this one)

Thanks to Jay for a great overview on the BCS!

- pwd -

5 comments:

Jay said...

Hi Paul, thanks for the link. Just one clarification: the Fiesta actually gets the first pick AND the third pick. Fiesta's compensatory pick goes in before the regular order of the other three, then it's the normal Orange-Fiesta-Sugar. It looks like this:

Rose - Southern Cal
Rose - Texas

Fiesta - (pick #1)
Fiesta - (pick #3)

Orange - ACC
Orange - (pick #2)

Sugar - SEC
Sugar - (pick #4)

Anonymous said...

Wow, that's really unsettling that the chips would fall like that.

Can you really conscience an Auburn/Georgia/Florida/Alabama versus Rutgers/South Florida/Western Virginia in a bowl game?

Really only W. Virginia would be appealing.

One possible positive, South Florida would have a chance to make real headway into the minds of the Tampa Bay Football public.

Anonymous said...

A 10-1 West Virginia team could at least claim to be worthy of a BCS bowl based on their record. Better than playing Rutgers or USF, but what would the SEC champ have to gain by beating any of them? A nothing to gain/everything to lose scenario for the SEC representative.

Anonymous said...

If I'm not mistaken, this is also the order of the bowl selection in 2002 when we got hosed with having to play a mediocre 9-4 FSU team.

Maybe we should threaten to win the SEC in a non-4-year cycle. . .

abacadae said...

Buck Belue spent a ton of time on this Monday afternoon as well.

The real scary thing would be if an SEC team suffered a let down against West Virginia. Sportscenter would probably stage a hypothetical press conference where Corso played Mike Slive and discussed the downfall of the SEC and what they plan to do about it during the offseason.

 
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