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November 27, 2005

UGA vs. Clemson in the Peach Bowl?

There are four main bowl scenarios right now for the Dawgs. Technically, there are more, but the most likely based on this weekend's games are discussed below.

Sugar - Georgia Bulldogs vs. West Virginia
-- WVU locked up the Sugar yesterday when Uconn beat USF. The Mountaineers looked like a legit Top 10 vs. an overmatched Pitt team so this isn't the debacle many of us feared a few weeks ago. Still not ideal, but as long as WVU beats USF next week it will have some national appeal. If Georgia beats LSU, we get this matchup.

Peach -- Georgia vs. Clemson
-- When FSU loses to Virginia Tech this coming weekend in the ACC Championship game, the Noles will be on a four game losing streak. I can't see the Peach selecting a team with so little enthusiasm or respect. That leaves the Peach to choose between Boston College (8-3), Clemson (7-4) and Georgia Tech (7-4). BC's fans don't travel, and Tech is local. The Peach would have to choose between a 9-3 Georgia Team and an 8-3 Florida Team. If Georgia loses to LSU, this is a real possibility. The chance to beat the Tigers a sixth time in a row would be fine by me.

[Photo: Bruce Thornton celebrates our win over Clemson in 2003.]

Peach -- Georgia vs. Boston College
-- If the Peach takes BC, they are going to need someone to sell tickets to the game. The two SEC fan bases who would sell the most tickets to this game are Georgia and South Carolina. SC will sell more tickets to any non-BCS bowl than any other SEC team this year. However, proximity would mean a ton of Georgia ticket sales here.

Independence -- Georgia vs. Nebraska/Missouri/Oklahoma/Colorado
-- The Shreveport Bowl reps told the Jacksonville paper that they are expecting to select Florida. If the Dawgs slip past the Peach, this is where we will wind up. (*******NOTE: Since I first wrote this, I realized that the SEC may not allow a bowl to select a team with 2 fewer wins than another SEC team. In other words, South Carolina at 7-4 can't get selected until Georgia at 9-3 gets picked. So I don't think that we can fall to this bowl, but I'm not totally positive.)

The Capital One bowl isn't an option. They don't want the loser of the SECC game if they can avoid it. Auburn is almost a mortal lock on that game. The Outback Bowl isn't an option because we've been there three times in the past 8 years. A fourth visit isn't going to happen.

The Cotton Bowl can select Auburn, Alabama or LSU and get a better geographic fit than they would with Georgia.

That really only leaves the Sugar, Peach or Independence.

Here's how I think it shakes out (most likely)

If UGA beats LSU:
Sugar - Georgia vs. West Virginia
Capital One - Auburn vs. Wisconsin
Cotton - LSU vs. Texas Tech
Outback - Alabama vs. Michigan
Peach - South Carolina vs. Boston College
Independence - Florida vs. Nebraska

If LSU beats Georgia:
Sugar - LSU vs. West Virginia
Capital One - Auburn vs. Wisconsin
Cotton - Alabama vs. Texas Tech
Outback - South Carolina vs. Michigan
Peach - Georgia vs. Clemson
Independence - Florida vs. Nebraska

As always, the wildcard is the Outback Bowl. If they select Florida (again), then the Peach will take South Carolina. And we're off to Louisiana for the holidays.


Image from Georgiadogs.com

4 comments:

Worrier said...

Congrats on your exciting win over the Techies!!

Anonymous said...

If we go to friggin' Shreveport after a 9-2 season and a berth in the SEC championship game, somebody going to have a lot of questions to answer. It's an absolute joke that the Independence Bowl can even be brought up as a possibility...we're 5 points away from being undefeated at this point for crying out loud!

Anonymous said...

Thanks for bringing me down from the excitement of beating a good Tech, finishing the regular season 9-2, and earning a spot in the SECC.

Shreveport? That's for the 6-5/7-4 overachieving (a Miss State)or disappointing teams.
The Peach? We have made fun of Tennessee going to the Peach the last few years. They are disappointed, come out flat, and lose to some pumped up ACC middling (like Clem(p)son).
If we lose to LSU (it's 50/50, we can beat them if we play our game)and end up in Shreveport, we might as well be an independent and cut our own deals.

Anonymous said...

Somebody from the SEC needs to have a heart-to heart talk with the Outback Bowl. They push their contract to the limit every year and leave some better teams standing at the alter. They co- operate with no one.

 
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