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August 22, 2007

'07-'08 Basketball Schedule Announced


The Georgia Bulldogs have released the full basketball schedule for the 2007-2008 season. The non-conference line-up is highlighted by two solid home games (GT and Wake Forest), two solid road games (Gonzaga and Wisconsin), and a trip to Hawaii.

Interestingly, there are only five games against last year's sub-250 RPI teams, and only four of those will count in the rankings. This is an all-time snack cake low for Coach Felton. Still too sugary for my taste, but it's improvement.

The lowlights of the schedule include booking a Div II team (Augusta State), no neutral site game in Gwinnett or Atlanta, and two sub-300 RPI teams in Presbyterian (a new independent) and Jacksonville State. The RPI information based on Ken Pomeroy's stats for last season:

Team'06-'07
RPI
Conf.
Wisconsin (road)
4
Big 10
Georgia Tech (home)
52
ACC
Gonzaga (road/neutral)
60
WCC
Delaware St. (home)
120
MEAC
Wake Forest (home)
122
ACC
ETSU (neutral)
123
ASun
Grambling (home)
287
SWAC
Elon (home)
298
So. Con
Jacksonville St. (home)
315
OVC
Presbyterian (home)
N/A
Independent
Augusta State (home)
N/A
Div II



Other likely teams in Hawaii


Rd 2: Tulane or St. Mary's (Ca)
143 or 154

Rd 3: Hawaii or Ohio or St. John's
98 or 105 or 133


Look for Delaware State and GT to slide significantly in the ratings while Wake and Gonzaga make a move up. Also, Presbyterian isn't as bad as it looks. Yes, they will stink, but statistically some of that will be softened by them playing the toughest schedule. They'll still stink badly though. Savannah State bad.

The Hawaii trip is especially well scheduled. The RPI system gives you .6 strength of schedule points for a home win, 1.0 for a neutral win, and 1.4 points for a road win. Losses are counted in opposite fashion such that a home loss counts as 1.4 points. (this is an over simplification, but you get the idea).

In other words, scheduling teams like Hawaii, St. John's, Tulane and ETSU is the RPI equivalent of scheduling teams like Iowa, Missouri, NC State, Nebraska and Oklahoma (based on last year's RPI). Even though it's not nearly as entertaining as actually...you know...playing those teams...you know...at home.


My overall feeling on the schedule:
I would've liked to have gotten a decent RPI top 150 game in Gwinnett Arena instead of the pointless Augusta State scrimmage match-up. But overall, it's a continued incremental improvement on the scheduling front from Felton. He and Coach Hermann aren't just scheduling a little tougher every year. They're scheduling a little smarter, and that's more important than scheduling hard.

Is it an overly watchable home non-conference schedule? Definitely not.
Will the early home slate sell non-conference tickets? No.
Will it help us make the tourney. Hopefully.

We should go 10-3 at worst vs. the non-conference schedule. If we can do that and add a 9-7 SEC record, we make the SEC tourney very interesting for a change. It would come right down to the wire...and 11 non-conference wins is very doable.

Other schedule tidbits:
-- UGA plays three of its first five SEC games on the road.
-- The middle of the schedule reveals 4 of 5 SEC home games in a row.
-- The schedule closes in brutal fashion with 4 of 6 SEC road games.
-- We play GT in Athens four days after playing Gonzaga in Spokane. Here's hoping we booked a heckuva well timed flight back home!

What's your reaction?

PWD
 
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