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November 21, 2012

Georgia's National Championship Chances: By the Numbers

Very interesting stuff by CFBTN on Georgia's (and other contenders) chances for playing in the BCS NCG. They place Georgia at 25%, behind 'Bama's 71% and Notre Dame's 50%. Keeping in mind that basically Georgia or Alabama is a binary choice, it isn't surprising that Georgia and Alabama's % nearly equals 100.

They also break down the possible match-ups and the likelihood of that match-up. Georgia vs. Notre Dame is the second most likely match-up, at 12.56%.

Georgia's %'s:

v. Notre Dame - 12.56%
v. Kansas State - 4.66%
v. Oregon (as Pac-12 Champ) - 3.42%
v. Oregon (as non Pac -12 Champ) - 2.64%
v. any other team but Notre Dame, Alabama, Kansas State, or Oregon - 1.75%

Interestingly, Georgia has the highest percentage of likelihood of playing anyone random of all the teams listed.

TD

1 comments:

Billy Madison said...

So Georgia has no chance of playing Florida? What if Georgia wins the SEC and Florida beats Florida St.?

 
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