vs. Clemson +24
vs. South Carolina +22
vs. Troy +8
vs. Tenn Even
vs. Vandy -4
vs. Missouri +21
vs. Arkansas +15
vs. Florida -5
But looking at field position (and time of possession, honestly) in the 2nd and 3rd quarters is stark:
UF 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1st 2nd Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Half Half Total -------------------------------------------------------------------- Time of possession 04:01 10:22 12:01 06:17 14:23 18:18 32:41 3rd Down Conversions 1/3 3/5 1/3 2/3 4/8 3/6 7/14 Avg Field Position F20 F31 F43 F17 F26 F32 F29 4th Down Conversions 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1
UGA 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 1st 2nd Qtr Qtr Qtr Qtr Half Half Total -------------------------------------------------------------------- Time of possession 10:59 04:38 02:59 08:43 15:37 11:42 27:19 3rd Down Conversions 4/7 0/2 0/2 4/5 4/9 4/7 8/16 Avg Field Position G27 G19 G22 G29 G23 G25 G24 4th Down Conversions 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/1
Using Bill Connelly's five factors measure, it isn't hard to see where it all went wrong in the middle half of the game:
FP Margin Range | % of 2013 games | Win% | Avg. scoring margin |
20+ yards | 4.0% | 96.9% | +32.4 |
15-20 yards | 8.6% | 92.8% | +28.6 |
10-15 yards | 17.8% | 86.7% | +19.9 |
6-10 yards | 23.5% | 78.3% | +15.7 |
3-6 yards | 23.5% | 59.8% | +6.3 |
0-3 yards | 22.7% | 54.1% | +2.6 |
While simply dividing that game scoring margin by four is slightly flawed logic, it isn't hard to see why UGA got out scored by 24 points in the second and third quarters. With a run first team, especially with the starting center out, thus limiting what you can do passing, it is very easy to see why our offense didn't do more than they did. Of course, that still doesn't explain why a defense that hadn't allowed a single 40 yard plus play this season give up five, all on rushing plays, against a team that hadn't had but five total plays of more than 40 yards this season.
TD
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