Advanced stats don't lie....UGA projected 3rd in S&P+

Bill Connelly expresses surprise at UGA being there...

The most surprising teams in the top 10: Georgia, Ole Miss, and UCLA. Well, Georgia being third is surprising. I included each set of rankings so you could understand what the numbers see. Georgia has been one of the most consistently awesome teams in the country (fourth in weighted five-year history) and benefits from that here.

I can't say I disagree with him, though we did well in his stats last year. In fact, UGA was easily the most confusing team for him to figure out last year, something he mentioned on more than one occasion. Based on his stats, Georgia will be a favorite in every game they play this year, save two, Alabama and Auburn.

The top ten:

Without further adieu, here are the 2015 projections. Analysis below the table.

	Conf	Proj. S&P+	Rk	2014 Rk	Proj. change	5-year performance	Returning starters impact	Recruiting impact
Alabama	SEC	24.4	1	2	1	1	4	1
Ohio State	Big Ten	24.0	2	1	-1	2	1	9
Georgia	SEC	20.9	3	7	4	4	7	10
Oregon	Pac-12	20.5	4	3	-1	3	6	23
Auburn	SEC	19.5	5	4	-1	6	8	5
Ole Miss	SEC	18.2	6	6	0	14	2	21
UCLA	Pac-12	18.0	7	9	2	22	5	4
LSU	SEC	17.9	8	16	8	10	11	7
Michigan State	Big Ten	17.2	9	11	2	8	13	22
Oklahoma	Big 12	17.0	10	13	3	12	15	16

This is a predictor of what will happen, it is, especially in May, a look at what should happen.  Don't book flights to Arizona yet.

TD

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